Ralph's Tropical Weather Seasonal Hurricane Forecast, and Spaghetti Models

R.T.W. Tropical Weather Outlook Map
Updated daily during hurricane season
LAST UPDATED AUG 21,  2018...0327 PM EDT

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Upper  Low

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Dry Air

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LOW 0-30%      MED 40-60%     HIGH 70-90%
Cyclone formation chance

Tropical Weather Outlook Map Discussion
Discussions on what you see in above map is seen below
Note: Text in White is from National Hurricane Center, Text in Blue is from Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

National Hurricane Center
MESSAGE TO VIEWERS FROM RTW BELOW!

1.  A tropical wave is just inland to just offshore the coast of Africa with its axis near 17W, moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is embedded within a very dry and stable environment. Only isolated moderate convection is occurring within 180 nm east of the wave axis from 11N to 14N...NHC

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

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2.  A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from 05N37W to 13N38W to 19N37W, moving westward at 10-15 kt. This wave is also embedded within a very dry and stable environment caused by Saharan Air Layer outbreak migrating westward across the central and eastern Atlantic. Only isolated moderate convection is noted within 60 nm either side of the wave axis from 10N to 11.5N...NHC

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW
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3.  A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean has its axis from well inland Venezuela north-northeastward to 15N65W and to the proximity of the Virgin Islands. It is moving westward near 16 kt. Scattered moderate convection trails the wave from 09N to 11N east to near 58W...NHC

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW
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4.  A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis extending along 85W/86W and south of 21N, moving westward near 15 kt. Only isolated showers and thunderstorms are noted within 60 nm east of the wave...NHC

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW
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I want to thank those who donated to help keep this site online.  With recent donations we are now good until December 2018.  I still need more donations if we want to keep this site on line during the off season and during 2019 Hurricane Season.

So please continued your support so I can continue to serve you all next season God willing.   My yearly server provider fee is  $137.76 and this includes the domain name.  Your support is greatly appreciated!

Thank you
RTW










 

Atlantic Basin Storm formation Monitoring
Satellite Map Courtesy of Intellicast WSI
(Manual Updates or click on image)

LOW 0-30%      MED 40-60%     HIGH 70-90%
Cyclone formation chance

Atlantic Analysis
Satellite Map Courtesy of Intellicast WSI
(Analysis Map click on image for latest map)

East Pacific Analysis
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(Analysis Map Auto Updates)

National Hurricane Center
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