Ralph's Tropical Weather Seasonal Hurricane Forecast, and Spaghetti Models
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Ralph's Tropical Weather 

Seasonal Hurricane Forecast, and Spaghetti Models
Updates also available at my Blog
https://ralphstropicalweather.blogspot.com/

R.T.W. Tropical Weather Outlook Map
Updated daily during hurricane season
THIS PAGE LAST UPDATED SEPT  18,  2018...0209 PM EDT...

Active Tropical Cyclone Headline

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1005 mb

1018 mb

1014mb

1004mb

1007 mb

1024 mb

1007 mb

1010 mb

JOYCE

1016 mb

1019 mb

2.

1023 mb

1011 mb

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1015 mb

1.

LOW 0-30%      MED 40-60%     HIGH 70-90%
Cyclone formation chance

Tropical Weather Outlook Map Discussion
Discussions on what you see in above map is seen below
Note: Text in White is from National Hurricane Center, Text in Blue is from Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

National Hurricane Center

1.  A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles with axis along 57W/58W from Suriname to 18N, moving west at 20-25 kt. Model guidance indicates the wave is associated with a 700 mb trough and is well-defined on the TPW product. It is near the leading edge of an extensive area of dry Saharan air from 12N-24N between 37W-57W. Only isolated showers are near the wave axis at this time. Moisture associated with the tropical wave is expected to mainly affect the Windward Islands later today into early Wed...NHC
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2.  TROPICAL SORM JOYCE
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Atlantic Basin Storm formation Monitoring
Satellite Map Courtesy of Intellicast WSI
(Manual Updates or click on image)

T.D. JOYCE

<<

LOW 0-30%      MED 40-60%     HIGH 70-90%
Cyclone formation chance

Atlantic Analysis
Satellite Map Courtesy of Intellicast WSI
(Analysis Map click on image for latest map)

East & Central Pacific Satellite
Satellite Map Courtesy of Intellicast WSI
(Analysis Map manually Updated or click below for latest animation)

East & Central Pacific Analysis
Analysis Map Courtesy of Intellicast WSI
(Analysis Map manually Updated or click below image animation)

National Hurricane Center
Click below site page for latest from NHC
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